Attack 4 · original
Economic uncertainty isn't honest with landowners
Landseed claims 60–85% landowner share is competitive with carbon markets, but Earth Credits don't yet have established price points. A landowner asking 'how much will I make per year' cannot get a clear answer. The first 10 properties are price discovery, not predictable revenue, and pretending otherwise to win deals is bad faith.
Scenario
Landseed claims 60–85% landowner share is competitive with carbon markets, but Earth Credits don't yet have established price points. A landowner asking 'how much will I make per year' cannot get a clear answer. The first 10 properties are price discovery, not predictable revenue, and pretending otherwise to win deals is bad faith.
Mechanism
Landowner-facing materials that assert or imply revenue comparability to carbon markets create misrepresentation risk and misalign expectations. Early-cohort landowners who need predictable revenue will face unmet expectations.
Mitigation
First-cohort landowners communicated to as early-stage participants accepting revenue uncertainty in exchange for the conservation thesis. No projected revenue numbers in landowner-facing materials until Year 3, when actual data exists. Comparison to carbon markets must be honest about what's known (share percentages) and unknown (per-acre yields, price stability). The Template A specification includes an 'honest landowner pitch' section.
Residual risk
Some landowners will walk away from deals due to honest uncertainty communication. This is accepted — the architecture is not for everyone, and dishonesty would create larger downstream risk.